Remember just two weeks ago, when the media and even many conservative pundits flatly proclaimed Obama’s big victory in the payroll tax cut showdown had handed him a bigedge going into an election year? If you do, you are in the minority. The American people were not fooled.
In early December Obama’s Gallup survey approval/disapproval numbers were 43/50. His big victory just before Christmas got him to 45/47. Immediately after the “big” victory, he’s back down to 42/49.
Not only are these numbers bad, they become still worse when broken down into individual voter categories.
These numbers are far worse in light of Gallup’s own recent survey of enthusiasm that set “non-White” enthusiasm at just 31%.
Keep in mind Obama got 97% of Blacks to vote for him in 2008.
When viewed by region, Obama is only above water in the heavily Democrat East; but then there is the enthusiasm question again.
The stroke for Obama might be the further erosion in his support from the 65+ voters who only lukewarmly backed him in 2008. Gallup’s numbers show this group’s support for his reelection to have fallen to 41%, a scary figure considering the elderly always vote.
Obama does have an edge in the Eastern states, but even his small cushion there comes with a cautionary note.
Over the last several months surveys have shown Obama “underwater” in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut. Does this mean he will lose these states? Of course not, but it does mean he will have to spend time and money in them – something he wasn’t planning on doing.
Current state by state projections show a potential for a 355 electoral vote landslide loss for Obama.
Over the coming months we will hear the pundits tell us we can’t beat Obama. Gallup’s results say, “Yes we can!”
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This article originally appeared on CoachIsRight.com and is reprinted with permission.